What is Pool Corporation (POOL) DCF Fair Value and Intrinsic Value in 2026?

Pool Corporation (POOL) intrinsic value is calculated using conservative multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models, 5-year free cash flow trajectories, Graham Numbers, and owner earnings multiples. LocalAlpha tracks real-time margin of safety against live market prices.

What is Pool Corporation's historical Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) and Moat Rating?

Pool Corporation operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector (Specialty Retail) with an economic moat rating of WIDE. LocalAlpha tracks 5-year audited quarterly ROIC, operating margin stability, and balance sheet solvency ratios.

What is Pool Corporation's financial health rating and Piotroski F-Score?

Pool Corporation's balance sheet quality is evaluated using the 9-point Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score solvency model, debt-to-equity ratio, and quick/current liquidity coverage to guard against financial distress.

How does LocalAlpha monitor Pool Corporation (POOL) for quarterly SEC filing thesis breaks?

LocalAlpha audits Pool Corporation's 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K regulatory filings on SEC EDGAR within 15 minutes of release. If reported metrics breach an investor's custom ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or qualitative risk criteria, an autonomous breach audit is dispatched immediately.

StocksPOOL

POOL

Pool CorporationIndustrials / Industrial DistributionINTACT

Pool Corporation distributes swimming pool supplies, equipment, related leisure, irrigation, and landscape maintenance products in the United States and internationally. It offers maintenance products, including chemicals, supplies, and pool accessories; repair and replacement parts for pool equipment, such as cleaners, filters, heaters, pumps, and lights; and building materials, such as concrete, plumbing and electrical components, functional and decorative pool surfaces, decking materials, tiles, hardscapes, and natural stones for pool installations and remodeling. The company also provides pool equipment and components for new pool construction and the remodeling of existing pools; irrigation and related products, such as irrigation system components, and professional turf care equipment and supplies; commercial products, including heaters, safety equipment, commercial decking equipment, and commercial pumps and filters. In addition, it offers fiberglass pools, and hot tubs and packaged pool kits comprising walls, liners, braces, and coping for in-ground and above-ground pools; and other pool construction and recreational products which consist discretionary recreational and related outdoor living products, such as grills and components for outdoor kitchens. The company serves swimming pool remodelers and builders; specialty retailers that sell swimming pool supplies; swimming pool repair and service businesses; irrigation construction and landscape maintenance contractors; and commercial pool operators and pool contractors. Pool Corporation was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Covington, Louisiana.

Share Price

$177.34

52W: $172.68 - $336.15

DCF Fair Value

$76.60

-131.5% Premium

Thesis Hub

P/E (TTM)

16.3x

ROIC

11.3%

Operating Margin

15.1%

FCF Yield

3.3%

Debt / Equity

1.35x

Piotroski Score

6/9

Altman Z-Score

4.23

Market Cap

$6.4B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Overvalued vs DCF ($76.60)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)

—()

Period Range

$— - $—

DCF Fair Value

$76.60

MOS Buy Target (-25%)

$57.45

Valuation Overlays: DCF Fair Value ($76.60) 25% MOS Buy Target ($57.45) Revised Graham ($197.65) Graham Number ($92.17)

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price

$177.34

DCF Fair Value

$76.04

-133.2% Premium

Starting Free Cash Flow ($M)$213M

$100M$213M (Reported)$50,000M

Stage 1 Growth (Years 1-5)7.5%

-5%10% (Target)35%

Stage 2 Growth (Years 6-10)4.5%

0%5%20%

Discount Rate (WACC / Hurdle)9.0%

6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)

Terminal Perpetual Growth2.5%

1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%

Net Debt ($M)$1,700M

-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt

10-Yr PV of Cash Flows

$1.9B

PV of Terminal Value

$2.5B

Implied Enterprise Value

$4.4B

Implied Equity Value

$2.7B

Year	Yr 1	Yr 2	Yr 3	Yr 4	Yr 5	Yr 6	Yr 7	Yr 8	Yr 9	Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)	$229	$246	$265	$284	$306	$320	$334	$349	$365	$381
Present Value (PV)	$210	$207	$204	$202	$199	$191	$183	$175	$168	$161

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-92.4% Premium

$92.17

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $10.89BVPS: $34.67

Revised Graham Formula+10.3%

$197.65

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Growth Rate (g%)

Bond Yield (Y%)

Buffett Owner Earnings3.2% Yield

$5.62 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $0.2BYield: 3.2%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

FAIR BARRIER

11.0% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $177.34, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 11.0% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict

ℹ Fair expectations: Requires steady execution.

Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil POOL with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for Pool Corporation. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 15.1% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

Track POOL & Set Alerts Browse S&P 500 Coverage

Frequently Asked Questions: Pool Corporation (POOL) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for Pool Corporation.

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, Pool Corporation has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $76.60 per share compared to its current market price of $177.34. This represents an estimated 131.5% premium over fair value. Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $92.17.