What is Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) DCF Fair Value and Intrinsic Value in 2026?

Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) intrinsic value is calculated using conservative multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models, 5-year free cash flow trajectories, Graham Numbers, and owner earnings multiples. LocalAlpha tracks real-time margin of safety against live market prices.

What is Mohawk Industries, Inc.'s historical Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) and Moat Rating?

Mohawk Industries, Inc. operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector (Homebuilding) with an economic moat rating of NARROW. LocalAlpha tracks 5-year audited quarterly ROIC, operating margin stability, and balance sheet solvency ratios.

What is Mohawk Industries, Inc.'s financial health rating and Piotroski F-Score?

Mohawk Industries, Inc.'s balance sheet quality is evaluated using the 9-point Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score solvency model, debt-to-equity ratio, and quick/current liquidity coverage to guard against financial distress.

How does LocalAlpha monitor Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) for quarterly SEC filing thesis breaks?

LocalAlpha audits Mohawk Industries, Inc.'s 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K regulatory filings on SEC EDGAR within 15 minutes of release. If reported metrics breach an investor's custom ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or qualitative risk criteria, an autonomous breach audit is dispatched immediately.

StocksMHK

MHK

Mohawk Industries, Inc.Consumer Cyclical / Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesINTACT

Mohawk Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, distributes, and markets flooring products for residential and commercial remodeling, and new construction channels in the United States, Europe, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Global Ceramic, Flooring North America, and Flooring Rest of the World. The company provides ceramic, porcelain, and natural stone tiles products for floor and wall applications; natural stones, porcelain slabs, and quartz countertops, as well as installation materials; floor covering products comprising broadloom carpets, carpet tiles, rugs and mats, carpet pads, laminates, medium-density fiberboards, wood floorings, vinyl tiles, hybrid flooring, and sheet vinyl; and roofing panels, insulation boards, mezzanine flooring products, medium-density fiberboard, decorative panels, and chipboards. It also licenses its intellectual property to flooring manufacturers. The company sells its products under the American Olean, Daltile, Decortiles, Durkan, Eliane, Elizabeth, Feltex, Godfrey Hirst, IVC Home, Karastan, Kerama Marazzi, Marazzi, Moduleo, Mohawk, Pergo, Quick-Step, Unilin, Vitromex, GH Commercial, Hycraft, Lentex Flooring, Leoline, Redbook, EmilGroup, KAI, Ragno, Aladdin Commercial, Durkan, Foss, IVC Resilient Design, Mohawk Group, Mohawk Home, and Portico. It offers its products to home centers, company-owned service centers and stores, floor covering retailers, ceramic tile specialists, e-commerce retailers, residential builders, independent distributors, commercial contractors, and commercial end users. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Calhoun, Georgia.

Share Price

$127.89

52W: $92.99 - $140.3

DCF Fair Value

$248.97

+48.6% MoS

Thesis Hub

P/E (TTM)

16.9x

ROIC

Operating Margin

9.8%

FCF Yield

11.2%

Debt / Equity

0.28x

Piotroski Score

7/9

Altman Z-Score

5.24

Market Cap

$8.7B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Margin of Safety Buy Zone (<25% Discount)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)

—()

Period Range

$— - $—

DCF Fair Value

$248.97

MOS Buy Target (-25%)

$186.73

Valuation Overlays: DCF Fair Value ($248.97) 25% MOS Buy Target ($186.73) Revised Graham ($114.19) Graham Number ($154.86)

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price

$127.89

DCF Fair Value

$246.29

+48.1% MoS

Starting Free Cash Flow ($M)$967M

$100M$967M (Reported)$50,000M

Stage 1 Growth (Years 1-5)5.3%

-5%10% (Target)35%

Stage 2 Growth (Years 6-10)4.5%

0%5%20%

Discount Rate (WACC / Hurdle)9.0%

6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)

Terminal Perpetual Growth2.5%

1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%

Net Debt ($M)$1,600M

-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt

10-Yr PV of Cash Flows

$8.0B

PV of Terminal Value

$10.4B

Implied Enterprise Value

$18.3B

Implied Equity Value

$16.7B

Year	Yr 1	Yr 2	Yr 3	Yr 4	Yr 5	Yr 6	Yr 7	Yr 8	Yr 9	Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)	$1,018	$1,072	$1,129	$1,189	$1,252	$1,308	$1,367	$1,429	$1,493	$1,560
Present Value (PV)	$934	$902	$872	$842	$814	$780	$748	$717	$687	$659

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number+17.4%

$154.86

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $7.55BVPS: $141.17

Revised Graham Formula-12% Premium

$114.19

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Growth Rate (g%)

Bond Yield (Y%)

Buffett Owner Earnings10.6% Yield

$13.51 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $0.9BYield: 10.6%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

EXTREMELY LOW BARRIER

-5.1% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $127.89, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at -5.1% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict

✓ Low market hurdle: Easy for a wide-moat compounder to beat.

Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil MHK with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for Mohawk Industries, Inc.. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 9.8% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

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Frequently Asked Questions: Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for Mohawk Industries, Inc..

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, Mohawk Industries, Inc. has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $248.97 per share compared to its current market price of $127.89. This represents an estimated 48.6% margin of safety (trading below fair value). Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $154.86.