What is Genuine Parts Company (GPC) DCF Fair Value and Intrinsic Value in 2026?

Genuine Parts Company (GPC) intrinsic value is calculated using conservative multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models, 5-year free cash flow trajectories, Graham Numbers, and owner earnings multiples. LocalAlpha tracks real-time margin of safety against live market prices.

What is Genuine Parts Company's historical Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) and Moat Rating?

Genuine Parts Company operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector (Auto Parts) with an economic moat rating of NARROW. LocalAlpha tracks 5-year audited quarterly ROIC, operating margin stability, and balance sheet solvency ratios.

What is Genuine Parts Company's financial health rating and Piotroski F-Score?

Genuine Parts Company's balance sheet quality is evaluated using the 9-point Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score solvency model, debt-to-equity ratio, and quick/current liquidity coverage to guard against financial distress.

How does LocalAlpha monitor Genuine Parts Company (GPC) for quarterly SEC filing thesis breaks?

LocalAlpha audits Genuine Parts Company's 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K regulatory filings on SEC EDGAR within 15 minutes of release. If reported metrics breach an investor's custom ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or qualitative risk criteria, an autonomous breach audit is dispatched immediately.

StocksGPC

GPC

Genuine Parts CompanyConsumer Cyclical / Auto PartsINTACT

Genuine Parts Company distributes automotive and industrial replacement parts. The company operates in three segments: North America Automotive Parts Group, International Automotive Parts Group, and Industrial Parts Group. It distributes automotive replacement parts, accessories, tools, equipment, and related solutions for hybrid and electric vehicles, trucks, buses, motorcycles, farm equipment, and heavy-duty equipment. The company also offers replacement parts, including brakes, batteries, filters, engine components, and fluids; specialized services, such as paint mixing, hydraulic hose assembly, battery testing, and key cutting; and accessories and specialty equipment for automotive and heavy-duty vehicles, as well as tools and diagnostic devices for repair and maintenance. In addition, it provides independent repair shops and auto care centers under the NAPA brand, and offers technical expertise and training programs to customers. Further, the company provides bearings, seals, and gaskets; hose, fittings, hydraulics, and pneumatics components; abrasives, adhesives, sealants, and tape; pumps and power transmission; tools and testing equipment; electrical supplies and safety products; and chemicals and janitorial supplies. Additionally, it offers inventory management; vendor-managed inventory; asset repair and tracking, including radio frequency identification; and specialized repair services for gearboxes, fluid power systems, pumps, drive shafts, electrical panels, and hoses and gaskets. The company was incorporated in 1928 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Share Price

$134.35

52W: $90.78 - $151.57

DCF Fair Value

$82.18

-63.5% Premium

Thesis Hub

P/E (TTM)

537.4x

ROIC

Operating Margin

6.6%

FCF Yield

Debt / Equity

1.46x

Piotroski Score

6/9

Altman Z-Score

4.63

Market Cap

$18.5B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Overvalued vs DCF ($82.18)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)

—()

Period Range

$— - $—

DCF Fair Value

$82.18

MOS Buy Target (-25%)

$61.64

Valuation Overlays: DCF Fair Value ($82.18) 25% MOS Buy Target ($61.64) Revised Graham ($3.78) Graham Number ($13.59)

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price

$134.35

DCF Fair Value

$81.88

-64.1% Premium

Starting Free Cash Flow ($M)$917M

$100M$917M (Reported)$50,000M

Stage 1 Growth (Years 1-5)5.3%

-5%10% (Target)35%

Stage 2 Growth (Years 6-10)4.5%

0%5%20%

Discount Rate (WACC / Hurdle)9.0%

6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)

Terminal Perpetual Growth2.5%

1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%

Net Debt ($M)$6,100M

-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt

10-Yr PV of Cash Flows

$7.5B

PV of Terminal Value

$9.9B

Implied Enterprise Value

$17.4B

Implied Equity Value

$11.3B

Year	Yr 1	Yr 2	Yr 3	Yr 4	Yr 5	Yr 6	Yr 7	Yr 8	Yr 9	Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)	$966	$1,017	$1,071	$1,127	$1,187	$1,241	$1,296	$1,355	$1,416	$1,479
Present Value (PV)	$886	$856	$827	$799	$772	$740	$709	$680	$652	$625

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-888.6% Premium

$13.59

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $0.25BVPS: $32.83

Revised Graham Formula-3454.2% Premium

$3.78

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Growth Rate (g%)

Bond Yield (Y%)

Buffett Owner Earnings4.7% Yield

$6.31 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $0.9BYield: 4.7%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

MODEST BARRIER

5.8% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $134.35, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 5.8% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict

✓ Low market hurdle: Easy for a wide-moat compounder to beat.

Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil GPC with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for Genuine Parts Company. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 6.6% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

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Frequently Asked Questions: Genuine Parts Company (GPC) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for Genuine Parts Company.

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, Genuine Parts Company has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $82.18 per share compared to its current market price of $134.35. This represents an estimated 63.5% premium over fair value. Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $13.59.