What is Bunge Global SA (BG) DCF Fair Value and Intrinsic Value in 2026?

Bunge Global SA (BG) intrinsic value is calculated using conservative multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models, 5-year free cash flow trajectories, Graham Numbers, and owner earnings multiples. LocalAlpha tracks real-time margin of safety against live market prices.

What is Bunge Global SA's historical Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) and Moat Rating?

Bunge Global SA operates in the Consumer Defensive sector (Farm Products) with an economic moat rating of NARROW. LocalAlpha tracks 5-year audited quarterly ROIC, operating margin stability, and balance sheet solvency ratios.

What is Bunge Global SA's financial health rating and Piotroski F-Score?

Bunge Global SA's balance sheet quality is evaluated using the 9-point Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score solvency model, debt-to-equity ratio, and quick/current liquidity coverage to guard against financial distress.

How does LocalAlpha monitor Bunge Global SA (BG) for quarterly SEC filing thesis breaks?

LocalAlpha audits Bunge Global SA's 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K regulatory filings on SEC EDGAR within 15 minutes of release. If reported metrics breach an investor's custom ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or qualitative risk criteria, an autonomous breach audit is dispatched immediately.

StocksBG

BG

Bunge LimitedConsumer Defensive / Farm ProductsINTACT

Bunge Global SA operates as an agribusiness and food company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Soybean Processing and Refining, Softseed Processing and Refining, Other Oilseeds Processing and Refining, and Grain Merchandising and Milling. The Soybean Processing and Refining segment is involved in the purchase, storage, transportation, processing, distribution, refining, marketing, and sale of soybeans and soybean related products, as well as biodiesel and fertilizer production and distribution for the food, animal feed and biofuel industries. The Softseed Processing and Refining segment is involved in the purchase, storage, transportation, processing, distribution, refining, marketing, and sale of softseeds and softseed related products, as well as biodiesel production and distribution. The Other Oilseeds Processing and Refining Segment is involved in products of a specialty nature, including the purchase, storage, transportation, processing, distribution, refining, marketing, and sale of these related products. The Grain Merchandising and Milling segment is involved in the purchase, storage, transportation, distribution, and marketing of commodities primarily consisting of corn, wheat, barley, cotton, pulses, and sugar; milling of wheat and sugar; and related services including ocean freight and financial services. Bunge Global SA was founded in 1818 and is headquartered in Chesterfield, Missouri.

Share Price

$122.89

52W: $76.01 - $134.87

DCF Fair Value

$0.00

0% Premium

Thesis Hub

P/E (TTM)

26.5x

ROIC

Operating Margin

4.6%

FCF Yield

-27.4%

Debt / Equity

0.98x

Piotroski Score

5/9

Altman Z-Score

7.82

Market Cap

$23.6B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Fair Value Range

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)

—()

Period Range

$— - $—

Valuation Overlays:0 Revised Graham ($70.03) Graham Number ($93.01)

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price

$122.89

DCF Fair Value

$0.00

-100% Premium

Starting Free Cash Flow ($M)$100M

$100M$-6,475M (Reported)$50,000M

Stage 1 Growth (Years 1-5)5.3%

-5%10% (Target)35%

Stage 2 Growth (Years 6-10)4.5%

0%5%20%

Discount Rate (WACC / Hurdle)9.0%

6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)

Terminal Perpetual Growth2.5%

1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%

Net Debt ($M)$16,300M

-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt

10-Yr PV of Cash Flows

$0.8B

PV of Terminal Value

$1.1B

Implied Enterprise Value

$1.9B

Implied Equity Value

$-14.4B

Year	Yr 1	Yr 2	Yr 3	Yr 4	Yr 5	Yr 6	Yr 7	Yr 8	Yr 9	Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)	$105	$111	$117	$123	$129	$135	$141	$148	$154	$161
Present Value (PV)	$97	$93	$90	$87	$84	$81	$77	$74	$71	$68

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-32.1% Premium

$93.01

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $4.63BVPS: $83.04

Revised Graham Formula-75.5% Premium

$70.03

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Growth Rate (g%)

Bond Yield (Y%)

Buffett Owner Earnings-26.1% Yield

$-32.04 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $-6.2BYield: -26.1%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

EXTREMELY LOW BARRIER

0.0% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $122.89, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 0.0% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict

✓ Low market hurdle: Easy for a wide-moat compounder to beat.

Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil BG with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for Bunge Limited. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 4.6% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

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Frequently Asked Questions: Bunge Limited (BG) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for Bunge Limited.

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, Bunge Limited has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $0.00 per share compared to its current market price of $122.89. This represents an estimated 0.0% margin of safety (trading below fair value). Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $93.01.