OMC
Omnicom Group Inc.Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesINTACTOmnicom Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, offers advertising, marketing, and corporate communications services. It provides a range of services in the areas of media and advertising, precision marketing, public relations, healthcare, branding and retail commerce, experiential, execution, and support. The company's services include advertising, branding, content marketing, crisis communications, customer data analytics and data-driven decision making, customer relationship management, decision sciences, digital experience design, digital transformation, e-commerce optimization, entertainment marketing, experiential marketing, field marketing, healthcare marketing and communications, in-store design, investor relations, and marketing research.Its services also comprise media planning and buying, merchandising and point of sale, mobile marketing, multi-cultural marketing, organizational communications, package design, performance marketing, product placement, promotional marketing, public affairs, public relations, retail media and e-commerce, shopper marketing, structured innovation, studio production, social media and influencer marketing, and sports and event marketing. It operates in the North and Latin America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA), and the Asia Pacific. The company was incorporated in 1944 and is based in New York, New York.
Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor
Margin of Safety Buy Zone (<25% Discount)Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.
2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench
Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.
| Year | Yr 1 | Yr 2 | Yr 3 | Yr 4 | Yr 5 | Yr 6 | Yr 7 | Yr 8 | Yr 9 | Yr 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Projected FCF ($M) | $4,589 | $4,942 | $5,323 | $5,733 | $6,174 | $6,452 | $6,743 | $7,046 | $7,363 | $7,694 |
| Present Value (PV) | $4,210 | $4,160 | $4,110 | $4,061 | $4,013 | $3,847 | $3,688 | $3,536 | $3,390 | $3,250 |
Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models
Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.
Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.
Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.
True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.
Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation
EXTREMELY LOW BARRIERAt the current price of $79.13, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at -12.7% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.
Surveil OMC with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules
Set non-negotiable floor rules for Omnicom Group Inc.. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.
ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x
Current Margin 15.4% • Floor > 10%
Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x
Frequently Asked Questions: Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) Intrinsic Valuation
Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for Omnicom Group Inc..
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