What is T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS) DCF Fair Value and Intrinsic Value in 2026?

T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS) intrinsic value is calculated using conservative multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models, 5-year free cash flow trajectories, Graham Numbers, and owner earnings multiples. LocalAlpha tracks real-time margin of safety against live market prices.

What is T-Mobile US, Inc.'s historical Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) and Moat Rating?

T-Mobile US, Inc. operates in the Communication Services sector (Telecom Services) with an economic moat rating of NARROW. LocalAlpha tracks 5-year audited quarterly ROIC, operating margin stability, and balance sheet solvency ratios.

What is T-Mobile US, Inc.'s financial health rating and Piotroski F-Score?

T-Mobile US, Inc.'s balance sheet quality is evaluated using the 9-point Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score solvency model, debt-to-equity ratio, and quick/current liquidity coverage to guard against financial distress.

How does LocalAlpha monitor T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS) for quarterly SEC filing thesis breaks?

LocalAlpha audits T-Mobile US, Inc.'s 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K regulatory filings on SEC EDGAR within 15 minutes of release. If reported metrics breach an investor's custom ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or qualitative risk criteria, an autonomous breach audit is dispatched immediately.

StocksTMUS

TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.Communication Services / Telecom ServicesINTACT

T-Mobile US, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides wireless communications services in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands. The company offers voice, messaging, and data services to postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale and other services customers. It also provides wireless devices, including smartphones, wearables, tablets, home broadband gateways, headsets, and other mobile communication devices, as well as accessories; financing through equipment installment plans; reinsurance for device insurance policies and extended warranty contracts. The company offers services under the T-Mobile, Metro by T-Mobile, and Mint Mobile brands through its owned and operated retail stores, customer care channels, national retailers, and its websites, as well as through T-Mobile, Metro by T-Mobile, and Mint Mobile apps. It also sells devices to dealers and other third-party distributors for resale through independent third-party retail outlets and various third-party websites. It has 700 MHz wireless spectrum licenses. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington. T-Mobile US, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Deutsche Telekom AG.

Share Price

$183.08

52W: $165.66 - $244.24

DCF Fair Value

$162.34

-12.8% Premium

Thesis Hub

P/E (TTM)

19.1x

ROIC

18.9%

Operating Margin

25.2%

FCF Yield

5.8%

Debt / Equity

2.14x

Piotroski Score

7/9

Altman Z-Score

2.77

Market Cap

$196.4B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Overvalued vs DCF ($162.34)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)

—()

Period Range

$— - $—

DCF Fair Value

$162.34

MOS Buy Target (-25%)

$121.76

Valuation Overlays: DCF Fair Value ($162.34) 25% MOS Buy Target ($121.76) Revised Graham ($240.37) Graham Number ($106.17)

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price

$183.08

DCF Fair Value

$162.29

-12.8% Premium

Starting Free Cash Flow ($M)$11,336M

$100M$11,336M (Reported)$50,000M

Stage 1 Growth (Years 1-5)12.6%

-5%10% (Target)35%

Stage 2 Growth (Years 6-10)4.5%

0%5%20%

Discount Rate (WACC / Hurdle)9.0%

6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)

Terminal Perpetual Growth2.5%

1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%

Net Debt ($M)$117,600M

-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt

10-Yr PV of Cash Flows

$121.4B

PV of Terminal Value

$170.3B

Implied Enterprise Value

$291.7B

Implied Equity Value

$174.1B

Year	Yr 1	Yr 2	Yr 3	Yr 4	Yr 5	Yr 6	Yr 7	Yr 8	Yr 9	Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)	$12,764	$14,373	$16,184	$18,223	$20,519	$21,442	$22,407	$23,415	$24,469	$25,570
Present Value (PV)	$11,710	$12,097	$12,497	$12,909	$13,336	$12,785	$12,257	$11,751	$11,266	$10,801

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-72.4% Premium

$106.17

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $9.57BVPS: $52.35

Revised Graham Formula+23.8% MoS

$240.37

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Growth Rate (g%)

Bond Yield (Y%)

Buffett Owner Earnings5.5% Yield

$10.04 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $10.8BYield: 5.5%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

MODEST BARRIER

3.8% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $183.08, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 3.8% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict

✓ Low market hurdle: Easy for a wide-moat compounder to beat.

Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil TMUS with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for T-Mobile US, Inc.. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 25.2% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

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Frequently Asked Questions: T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for T-Mobile US, Inc..

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, T-Mobile US, Inc. has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $162.34 per share compared to its current market price of $183.08. This represents an estimated 12.8% premium over fair value. Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $106.17.