StocksMETA

META

Meta Platforms, Inc.Communication Services / Internet Content & InformationINTACT

Meta Platforms, Inc. engages in the development of products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality (VR) headsets, and AI glasses in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Family of Apps (FoA) and Reality Labs (RL). The FoA segment offers Facebook, which enables people to build community through feed, reels, stories, groups, marketplace, and other; Instagram that brings people closer through Instagram feed, stories, reels, live, and messaging; Messenger, a messaging application for people to connect with friends, family, communities, and businesses across platforms and devices through text, audio, and video calls; Meta AI, an assistant that's available across apps, as a stand-alone app, on AI glasses, and on the web; Threads, an application for text-based updates and public conversations; and WhatsApp, a messaging application that is used by people and businesses to communicate and transact. The RL segment provides virtual and augmented reality products, including consumer hardware, software, and content that help people feel connected, as well as Meta Quest devices that enable social experiences across gaming, fitness, entertainment, and more. The segment also includes wearables such as AI glasses like Ray Ban Meta and Oakley Meta glasses; and the Meta Ray Ban Display, which combines AI glasses with an integrated lens display and the Meta Neural Band, a wrist worn device using electromyography that lets people control their AI glasses through neuromuscular signals. Meta Platforms, Inc. has a collaboration with Microsoft Corporation, NVIDIA Corporation, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc., Broadcom Inc., and OpenAI, L.L.C. The company was formerly known as Facebook, Inc. and changed its name to Meta Platforms, Inc. in October 2021. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, California.

Share Price
$648.03
52W: $520.26 - $790.8
DCF Fair Value
$294.88
-119.8% Premium
P/E (TTM)
24.4x
ROIC
26.1%
Operating Margin
34.8%
FCF Yield
1.3%
Debt / Equity
0.43x
Piotroski Score
8/9
Altman Z-Score
3.13
Market Cap
$1650.9B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Overvalued vs DCF ($294.88)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)
()
Period Range
$ - $
DCF Fair Value
$294.88
MOS Buy Target (-25%)
$221.16
Valuation Overlays:

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price
$648.03
DCF Fair Value
$294.93
-119.7% Premium
$21,554M
$100M$21,554M (Reported)$53,885M
17.4%
-5%10% (Target)35%
4.5%
0%5%20%
9.0%
6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)
2.5%
1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%
$22,000M
-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt
10-Yr PV of Cash Flows
$273.3B
PV of Terminal Value
$399.0B
Implied Enterprise Value
$672.3B
Implied Equity Value
$650.3B
YearYr 1Yr 2Yr 3Yr 4Yr 5Yr 6Yr 7Yr 8Yr 9Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)$25,304$29,707$34,876$40,945$48,069$50,232$52,493$54,855$57,324$59,903
Present Value (PV)$23,215$25,004$26,931$29,006$31,242$29,952$28,715$27,530$26,393$25,304

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-161.9% Premium
$247.47

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $26.55BVPS: $102.52
Revised Graham Formula+23% MoS
$842.08

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Buffett Owner Earnings1.4% Yield
$9.29 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $20.5BYield: 1.4%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

HIGH BARRIER
21.6% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $648.03, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 21.6% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict
⚠ High expectations: Leaves minimal margin of safety for operational hiccups.
Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil META with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for Meta Platforms, Inc.. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 34.8% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

Frequently Asked Questions: Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for Meta Platforms, Inc..

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, Meta Platforms, Inc. has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $294.88 per share compared to its current market price of $648.03. This represents an estimated 119.8% premium over fair value. Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $247.47.

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