StocksFOXA

FOXA

Fox CorporationCommunication Services / EntertainmentINTACT

Fox Corporation operates as a news, sports, and entertainment company in the United States. It operates in two segments, Cable Network Programming and Television. The Cable Network Programming segment produces and licenses news and sports content for distribution through traditional cable television systems, direct broadcast satellite operators, telecommunication companies, virtual multi-channel video programming distributors, and other digital platforms. The Television segment produces, acquires, markets, and distributes programming through the FOX broadcast network; advertising-supported video-on-demand service Tubi; and operates full power broadcast television stations, including duopolies and other digital platforms. This segment also produces content for third parties. It also engages in the consumer finance marketplace; and provision of television and film production services along with office space, studio operation services, and all operations of the facility. Fox Corporation was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Share Price
$65.94
52W: $48.34 - $76.39
DCF Fair Value
$54.55
-20.9% Premium
P/E (TTM)
16.8x
ROIC
18.9%
Operating Margin
25.2%
FCF Yield
2%
Debt / Equity
0.64x
Piotroski Score
8/9
Altman Z-Score
4.48
Market Cap
$27.7B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Overvalued vs DCF ($54.55)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)
()
Period Range
$ - $
DCF Fair Value
$54.55
MOS Buy Target (-25%)
$40.91
Valuation Overlays:

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price
$65.94
DCF Fair Value
$54.42
-21.2% Premium
$555M
$100M$555M (Reported)$50,000M
12.6%
-5%10% (Target)35%
4.5%
0%5%20%
9.0%
6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)
2.5%
1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%
$3,400M
-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt
10-Yr PV of Cash Flows
$5.9B
PV of Terminal Value
$8.3B
Implied Enterprise Value
$14.3B
Implied Equity Value
$10.9B
YearYr 1Yr 2Yr 3Yr 4Yr 5Yr 6Yr 7Yr 8Yr 9Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)$625$704$792$892$1,005$1,050$1,097$1,146$1,198$1,252
Present Value (PV)$573$592$612$632$653$626$600$575$552$529

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-33.4% Premium
$49.44

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $3.92BVPS: $27.71
Revised Graham Formula+33% MoS
$98.46

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Buffett Owner Earnings4% Yield
$2.64 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $0.5BYield: 4%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

FAIR BARRIER
7.9% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $65.94, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 7.9% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict
✓ Low market hurdle: Easy for a wide-moat compounder to beat.
Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil FOXA with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for Fox Corporation. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 25.2% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

Frequently Asked Questions: Fox Corporation (FOXA) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for Fox Corporation.

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, Fox Corporation has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $54.55 per share compared to its current market price of $65.94. This represents an estimated 20.9% premium over fair value. Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $49.44.

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