What is CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) DCF Fair Value and Intrinsic Value in 2026?

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) intrinsic value is calculated using conservative multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models, 5-year free cash flow trajectories, Graham Numbers, and owner earnings multiples. LocalAlpha tracks real-time margin of safety against live market prices.

What is CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.'s historical Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) and Moat Rating?

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. operates in the Technology sector (Software - Infrastructure) with an economic moat rating of NARROW. LocalAlpha tracks 5-year audited quarterly ROIC, operating margin stability, and balance sheet solvency ratios.

What is CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.'s financial health rating and Piotroski F-Score?

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.'s balance sheet quality is evaluated using the 9-point Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score solvency model, debt-to-equity ratio, and quick/current liquidity coverage to guard against financial distress.

How does LocalAlpha monitor CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) for quarterly SEC filing thesis breaks?

LocalAlpha audits CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.'s 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K regulatory filings on SEC EDGAR within 15 minutes of release. If reported metrics breach an investor's custom ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or qualitative risk criteria, an autonomous breach audit is dispatched immediately.

StocksCRWD

CRWD

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.Technology / Software - InfrastructureINTACT

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. provides cybersecurity solutions in the United States and internationally. Its unified platform provides cloud-delivered protection of endpoints, cloud workloads, identity, and data through a software as a service (SaaS) subscription-based model. The company offers corporate endpoint and cloud workload security, managed security, security and vulnerability management, IT operations management, identity protection, threat intelligence, data protection, SaaS security posture management, and AI powered workflow automation, and securing generative AI workload services, as well as security orchestration, automation, and response; and security information and event management, and log management services. It primarily sells subscriptions to its Falcon platform and cloud modules. The company has a strategic alliance with Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation to help enterprises secure artificial intelligence across its lifecycle, from the AI agents and models to the foundational infrastructure that supports the entire AI ecosystem and with Snowflake to bring AI-native security and enterprise data at scale. Additionally, it has a partnership with Fortanix Inc. to combine its Falcon platform with Fortanix Confidential AI to provide an integrated solution for end-to-end AI security. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

Share Price

$206.13

52W: $85.68 - $233.88

DCF Fair Value

$41.12

-401.3% Premium

Thesis Hub

P/E (TTM)

5153.3x

ROIC

Operating Margin

-2.3%

FCF Yield

0.9%

Debt / Equity

0.16x

Piotroski Score

7/9

Altman Z-Score

2.75

Market Cap

$211.1B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Overvalued vs DCF ($41.12)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)

—()

Period Range

$— - $—

DCF Fair Value

$41.12

MOS Buy Target (-25%)

$30.84

Valuation Overlays: DCF Fair Value ($41.12) 25% MOS Buy Target ($30.84) Revised Graham ($0.61) Graham Number ($2.12)

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price

$206.13

DCF Fair Value

$41.07

-401.9% Premium

Starting Free Cash Flow ($M)$1,995M

$100M$1,995M (Reported)$50,000M

Stage 1 Growth (Years 1-5)5.3%

-5%10% (Target)35%

Stage 2 Growth (Years 6-10)4.5%

0%5%20%

Discount Rate (WACC / Hurdle)9.0%

6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)

Terminal Perpetual Growth2.5%

1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%

Net Debt ($M)-$4,200M (Net Cash)

-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt

10-Yr PV of Cash Flows

$16.4B

PV of Terminal Value

$21.4B

Implied Enterprise Value

$37.9B

Implied Equity Value

$42.1B

Year	Yr 1	Yr 2	Yr 3	Yr 4	Yr 5	Yr 6	Yr 7	Yr 8	Yr 9	Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)	$2,101	$2,212	$2,329	$2,453	$2,583	$2,699	$2,820	$2,947	$3,080	$3,219
Present Value (PV)	$1,927	$1,862	$1,799	$1,738	$1,679	$1,609	$1,543	$1,479	$1,418	$1,360

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-9623.1% Premium

$2.12

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $0.04BVPS: $4.98

Revised Graham Formula-33691.8% Premium

$0.61

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Growth Rate (g%)

Bond Yield (Y%)

Buffett Owner Earnings0.9% Yield

$1.85 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $1.9BYield: 0.9%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

SPECULATIVE BARRIER

28.0% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $206.13, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 28.0% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict

⚠ High expectations: Leaves minimal margin of safety for operational hiccups.

Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil CRWD with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin -2.3% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

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Frequently Asked Questions: CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc..

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $41.12 per share compared to its current market price of $206.13. This represents an estimated 401.3% premium over fair value. Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $2.12.