What is CenterPoint Energy, Inc. (CNP) DCF Fair Value and Intrinsic Value in 2026?

CenterPoint Energy, Inc. (CNP) intrinsic value is calculated using conservative multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models, 5-year free cash flow trajectories, Graham Numbers, and owner earnings multiples. LocalAlpha tracks real-time margin of safety against live market prices.

What is CenterPoint Energy, Inc.'s historical Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) and Moat Rating?

CenterPoint Energy, Inc. operates in the Utilities sector (Utilities - Regulated Electric) with an economic moat rating of NARROW. LocalAlpha tracks 5-year audited quarterly ROIC, operating margin stability, and balance sheet solvency ratios.

What is CenterPoint Energy, Inc.'s financial health rating and Piotroski F-Score?

CenterPoint Energy, Inc.'s balance sheet quality is evaluated using the 9-point Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score solvency model, debt-to-equity ratio, and quick/current liquidity coverage to guard against financial distress.

How does LocalAlpha monitor CenterPoint Energy, Inc. (CNP) for quarterly SEC filing thesis breaks?

LocalAlpha audits CenterPoint Energy, Inc.'s 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K regulatory filings on SEC EDGAR within 15 minutes of release. If reported metrics breach an investor's custom ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or qualitative risk criteria, an autonomous breach audit is dispatched immediately.

StocksCNP

CNP

CenterPoint Energy, Inc (HoldinUtilities / Utilities - Regulated ElectricINTACT

CenterPoint Energy, Inc. operates as a public utility holding company in the United States. The company operates through Electric; Natural Gas; and Corporate and Other segments. The Electric segment provides electric transmission and distribution services to electric customers and electric generation assets, as well as optimizes assets in the wholesale power market in Indiana Electric's service territory. The Natural Gas segment engages in the intrastate natural gas sales, and natural gas transportation and distribution for residential, commercial, and industrial customers in Indiana, Minnesota, Ohio, and Texas; permanent pipeline connections through interconnects with various interstate and intrastate pipeline companies; and provides home appliance maintenance and repair services to customers in Minnesota and home repair protection plans to natural gas customers in Indiana, Mississippi, Ohio, and Texas through a third party. As of December 31, 2025, it served approximately 2,859,313 metered customers; owned 355 substations with transformer capacity of 81,692 megavolt amperes; and owned and operated approximately 208 miles of intrastate pipeline in Louisiana and Texas. The company was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Share Price

$39.28

52W: $37.22 - $45.26

DCF Fair Value

$0.00

0% Premium

Thesis Hub

P/E (TTM)

23.4x

ROIC

18.4%

Operating Margin

24.5%

FCF Yield

-20.1%

Debt / Equity

2.1x

Piotroski Score

4/9

Altman Z-Score

2.18

Market Cap

$25.9B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Fair Value Range

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)

—()

Period Range

$— - $—

Valuation Overlays:0 Revised Graham ($41.43) Graham Number ($25.93)

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price

$39.28

DCF Fair Value

$0.00

-100% Premium

Starting Free Cash Flow ($M)$100M

$100M$-5,192M (Reported)$50,000M

Stage 1 Growth (Years 1-5)12.3%

-5%10% (Target)35%

Stage 2 Growth (Years 6-10)4.5%

0%5%20%

Discount Rate (WACC / Hurdle)9.0%

6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)

Terminal Perpetual Growth2.5%

1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%

Net Debt ($M)$24,100M

-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt

10-Yr PV of Cash Flows

$1.1B

PV of Terminal Value

$1.5B

Implied Enterprise Value

$2.5B

Implied Equity Value

$-21.6B

Year	Yr 1	Yr 2	Yr 3	Yr 4	Yr 5	Yr 6	Yr 7	Yr 8	Yr 9	Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)	$112	$126	$142	$159	$179	$187	$195	$204	$213	$223
Present Value (PV)	$103	$106	$109	$113	$116	$111	$107	$102	$98	$94

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-51.5% Premium

$25.93

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $1.68BVPS: $17.79

Revised Graham Formula+5.2%

$41.43

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Growth Rate (g%)

Bond Yield (Y%)

Buffett Owner Earnings-19% Yield

$-7.48 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $-4.9BYield: -19%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

EXTREMELY LOW BARRIER

0.0% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $39.28, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 0.0% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict

✓ Low market hurdle: Easy for a wide-moat compounder to beat.

Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil CNP with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for CenterPoint Energy, Inc (Holdin. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 24.5% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

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Frequently Asked Questions: CenterPoint Energy, Inc (Holdin (CNP) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for CenterPoint Energy, Inc (Holdin.

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, CenterPoint Energy, Inc (Holdin has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $0.00 per share compared to its current market price of $39.28. This represents an estimated 0.0% margin of safety (trading below fair value). Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $25.93.