What is Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) DCF Fair Value and Intrinsic Value in 2026?

Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) intrinsic value is calculated using conservative multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models, 5-year free cash flow trajectories, Graham Numbers, and owner earnings multiples. LocalAlpha tracks real-time margin of safety against live market prices.

What is Duke Energy Corporation's historical Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) and Moat Rating?

Duke Energy Corporation operates in the Utilities sector (Utilities - Regulated Electric) with an economic moat rating of NARROW. LocalAlpha tracks 5-year audited quarterly ROIC, operating margin stability, and balance sheet solvency ratios.

What is Duke Energy Corporation's financial health rating and Piotroski F-Score?

Duke Energy Corporation's balance sheet quality is evaluated using the 9-point Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score solvency model, debt-to-equity ratio, and quick/current liquidity coverage to guard against financial distress.

How does LocalAlpha monitor Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) for quarterly SEC filing thesis breaks?

LocalAlpha audits Duke Energy Corporation's 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K regulatory filings on SEC EDGAR within 15 minutes of release. If reported metrics breach an investor's custom ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or qualitative risk criteria, an autonomous breach audit is dispatched immediately.

StocksDUK

DUK

Duke Energy Corporation (HoldinUtilities / Utilities - Regulated ElectricINTACT

Duke Energy Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as an energy company in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure (EU&I); and Gas Utilities and Infrastructure (GU&I). The EU&I segment generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity to customers in the Southeast and Midwest regions. It generates electricity through coal, hydroelectric, natural gas, oil, renewables, and nuclear fuel. This segment also engages in the wholesale of electricity to municipalities, electric cooperative utilities, and other load-serving entities. The GU&I segment distributes natural gas to customers in the residential, commercial, industrial, and power generation natural gas sectors; and invests in pipeline transmission projects, renewable natural gas projects, and natural gas storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Duke Energy Holding Corp. and changed its name to Duke Energy Corporation in April 2006. Duke Energy Corporation was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Share Price

$119.65

52W: $113.9 - $134.49

DCF Fair Value

$0.00

0% Premium

Thesis Hub

P/E (TTM)

18x

ROIC

20.6%

Operating Margin

27.5%

FCF Yield

-4.8%

Debt / Equity

1.62x

Piotroski Score

4/9

Altman Z-Score

2.13

Market Cap

$93.3B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Fair Value Range

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)

—()

Period Range

$— - $—

Valuation Overlays:0 Revised Graham ($177.12) Graham Number ($101.49)

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price

$119.65

DCF Fair Value

$0.00

-100% Premium

Starting Free Cash Flow ($M)$100M

$100M$-4,477M (Reported)$50,000M

Stage 1 Growth (Years 1-5)13.7%

-5%10% (Target)35%

Stage 2 Growth (Years 6-10)4.5%

0%5%20%

Discount Rate (WACC / Hurdle)9.0%

6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)

Terminal Perpetual Growth2.5%

1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%

Net Debt ($M)$91,500M

-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt

10-Yr PV of Cash Flows

$1.1B

PV of Terminal Value

$1.6B

Implied Enterprise Value

$2.7B

Implied Equity Value

$-88.8B

Year	Yr 1	Yr 2	Yr 3	Yr 4	Yr 5	Yr 6	Yr 7	Yr 8	Yr 9	Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)	$114	$129	$147	$167	$190	$199	$208	$217	$227	$237
Present Value (PV)	$104	$109	$114	$118	$124	$118	$114	$109	$104	$100

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-17.9% Premium

$101.49

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $6.64BVPS: $68.95

Revised Graham Formula+32.4% MoS

$177.12

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Growth Rate (g%)

Bond Yield (Y%)

Buffett Owner Earnings-4.6% Yield

$-5.45 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $-4.3BYield: -4.6%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

EXTREMELY LOW BARRIER

0.0% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $119.65, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 0.0% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict

✓ Low market hurdle: Easy for a wide-moat compounder to beat.

Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil DUK with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 27.5% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

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Frequently Asked Questions: Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin (DUK) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin.

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $0.00 per share compared to its current market price of $119.65. This represents an estimated 0.0% margin of safety (trading below fair value). Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $101.49.