StocksUBER

UBER

Uber Technologies, Inc.Technology / Software - ApplicationINTACT

Uber Technologies, Inc. develops and operates proprietary technology applications in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through three segments: Mobility, Delivery, and Freight. The Mobility segment connects consumers with a range of transportation modalities, such as ridesharing, carsharing, micromobility, rentals, public transit, taxis, and other modalities; and offers riders in a variety of vehicle types, as well as financial partnerships products and advertising services. The Delivery segment allows consumers to search for and discover restaurants to grocery, alcohol, convenience, and other retailers, as well as order a meal or other items, and either pick-up at the restaurant or have it delivered; and provides Uber direct, a white-label delivery-as-a-service for retailers and restaurants, as well as advertising services. The Freight segment manages transportation and logistics networks, which connects shippers and carriers in digital marketplace, including carriers upfronts, pricing, and shipment booking; and offers on-demand platform to automate logistics end-to-end transactions for small-and medium-sized businesses to global enterprises. Uber Technologies, Inc. has staetegic partnership with Mews to embed ride booking, real-time tracking and integrated billing directly into the Mews platform. The company was formerly known as Ubercab, Inc. and changed its name to Uber Technologies, Inc. in February 2011. Uber Technologies, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Share Price
$71.71
52W: $65.41 - $101.99
DCF Fair Value
$66.76
-7.4% Premium
P/E (TTM)
15.7x
ROIC
10%
Operating Margin
13.3%
FCF Yield
4.9%
Debt / Equity
0.52x
Piotroski Score
7/9
Altman Z-Score
3.48
Market Cap
$146.5B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Overvalued vs DCF ($66.76)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)
()
Period Range
$ - $
DCF Fair Value
$66.76
MOS Buy Target (-25%)
$50.07
Valuation Overlays:

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price
$71.71
DCF Fair Value
$66.87
-7.2% Premium
$7,245M
$100M$7,245M (Reported)$50,000M
6.7%
-5%10% (Target)35%
4.5%
0%5%20%
9.0%
6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)
2.5%
1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%
$9,300M
-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt
10-Yr PV of Cash Flows
$62.7B
PV of Terminal Value
$83.2B
Implied Enterprise Value
$145.9B
Implied Equity Value
$136.6B
YearYr 1Yr 2Yr 3Yr 4Yr 5Yr 6Yr 7Yr 8Yr 9Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)$7,730$8,248$8,801$9,391$10,020$10,471$10,942$11,434$11,949$12,487
Present Value (PV)$7,092$6,942$6,796$6,653$6,512$6,243$5,986$5,738$5,502$5,274

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-93.5% Premium
$37.06

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $4.56BVPS: $13.39
Revised Graham Formula+7.3%
$77.33

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Buffett Owner Earnings4.7% Yield
$3.37 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $6.9BYield: 4.7%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

MODEST BARRIER
5.8% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $71.71, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 5.8% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict
✓ Low market hurdle: Easy for a wide-moat compounder to beat.
Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil UBER with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for Uber Technologies, Inc.. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 13.3% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

Frequently Asked Questions: Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for Uber Technologies, Inc..

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, Uber Technologies, Inc. has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $66.76 per share compared to its current market price of $71.71. This represents an estimated 7.4% premium over fair value. Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $37.06.

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