REG

Regency Centers CorporationReal Estate / REIT - RetailINTACT

Regency Centers Corporation is a pre-eminent national owner, operator, and developer of shopping centers located in suburban trade areas with compelling demographics. Our portfolio includes thriving properties merchandised with highly productive grocers, restaurants, service providers, and best-in-class retailers that connect to their neighborhoods, communities, and customers. Operating as a fully integrated real estate company, Regency Centers is a qualified real estate investment trust (REIT) that is self-administered, self-managed, and an S&P 500 Index member. Regency Centers Corporation was incorporated in 1963 and is based in Jacksonville, Florida.

Share Price
$74.72
52W: $66.86 - $83.66
DCF Fair Value
$102.55
+27.1% MoS
P/E (TTM)
25.2x
ROIC
29.7%
Operating Margin
39.6%
FCF Yield
5.3%
Debt / Equity
0.72x
Piotroski Score
6/9
Altman Z-Score
2.72
Market Cap
$14B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Margin of Safety Buy Zone (<25% Discount)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)
()
Period Range
$ - $
DCF Fair Value
$102.55
MOS Buy Target (-25%)
$76.91
Valuation Overlays:

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price
$74.72
DCF Fair Value
$102.89
+27.4% MoS
$743M
$100M$743M (Reported)$50,000M
18.0%
-5%10% (Target)35%
4.5%
0%5%20%
9.0%
6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)
2.5%
1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%
$4,900M
-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt
10-Yr PV of Cash Flows
$9.6B
PV of Terminal Value
$14.1B
Implied Enterprise Value
$23.7B
Implied Equity Value
$18.8B
YearYr 1Yr 2Yr 3Yr 4Yr 5Yr 6Yr 7Yr 8Yr 9Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)$877$1,035$1,221$1,441$1,700$1,776$1,856$1,940$2,027$2,118
Present Value (PV)$804$871$943$1,020$1,105$1,059$1,015$974$933$895

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-51.5% Premium
$49.32

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $2.97BVPS: $36.40
Revised Graham Formula+28.2% MoS
$104.00

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Buffett Owner Earnings5.2% Yield
$3.86 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $0.7BYield: 5.2%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

MODEST BARRIER
4.5% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $74.72, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 4.5% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict
✓ Low market hurdle: Easy for a wide-moat compounder to beat.
Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil REG with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for Regency Centers Corporation. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 39.6% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

Frequently Asked Questions: Regency Centers Corporation (REG) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for Regency Centers Corporation.

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, Regency Centers Corporation has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $102.55 per share compared to its current market price of $74.72. This represents an estimated 27.1% margin of safety (trading below fair value). Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $49.32.

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