StocksINVH

INVH

Invitation Homes Inc.Real Estate / REIT - ResidentialINTACT

Invitation Homes Inc., an S&P 500 company, is the nation's premier single-family home leasing and management company, helping to expand housing through new development and strategic partnerships. Their purpose, Unlock the Power of Home, reflects their commitment to address America's housing needs by delivering high-quality living solutions and genuine care to those who choose the flexibility and value of leasing. Invitation Homes Inc. was incorporated in 6th June 2012 and is based in Dallas, United States.

Share Price
$27.64
52W: $24.25 - $30.89
DCF Fair Value
$36.45
+24.2% MoS
P/E (TTM)
25.4x
ROIC
18.8%
Operating Margin
25.1%
FCF Yield
7.2%
Debt / Equity
0.94x
Piotroski Score
7/9
Altman Z-Score
2.21
Market Cap
$16.3B

Price vs. Intrinsic Value Corridor

Modest Value ($27.64 vs $36.45 DCF)

Historical market price overlaid against conservative DCF Fair Value & Benjamin Graham Margin of Safety bands.

Period Return (1Y)
()
Period Range
$ - $
DCF Fair Value
$36.45
MOS Buy Target (-25%)
$27.34
Valuation Overlays:

2-Stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Workbench

Conservative intrinsic value model based on owner cash generation over a 10-year investment horizon. Opens with LocalAlpha's baseline assumptions (matching the fair value shown above) — adjust any input to stress-test.

Current Market Price
$27.64
DCF Fair Value
$36.32
+23.9% MoS
$1,169M
$100M$1,169M (Reported)$50,000M
12.5%
-5%10% (Target)35%
4.5%
0%5%20%
9.0%
6%9% (Standard)15% (High Risk)
2.5%
1% (GDP Floor)2.5% (Inflation)4.0%
$8,500M
-$100B CashBalance Sheet+$150B Debt
10-Yr PV of Cash Flows
$12.5B
PV of Terminal Value
$17.5B
Implied Enterprise Value
$30.0B
Implied Equity Value
$21.5B
YearYr 1Yr 2Yr 3Yr 4Yr 5Yr 6Yr 7Yr 8Yr 9Yr 10
Projected FCF ($M)$1,315$1,480$1,664$1,873$2,107$2,201$2,300$2,404$2,512$2,625
Present Value (PV)$1,207$1,245$1,285$1,327$1,369$1,313$1,258$1,206$1,157$1,109

Benjamin Graham & Buffett Value Models

Classical deep value metrics based on asset backing, normalized earnings power, and owner cash yield.

Graham Number-42.5% Premium
$19.39

Calculated as √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The maximum theoretical price a defensive investor should pay based purely on asset book value and current earnings.

EPS: $1.09BVPS: $15.33
Revised Graham Formula-1.3% Premium
$27.28

Formula: V = (EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4) / Y where g is the conservative 7-10 yr growth rate and Y is AAA Bond Yield.

Buffett Owner Earnings6.8% Yield
$1.88 / share

True distributable cash flow: Net Income + D&A - Maintenance CapEx. Reflects the cash Buffett would extract without hurting unit volume.

Total: $1.1BYield: 6.8%

Reverse DCF: Market Growth Expectation

EXTREMELY LOW BARRIER
0.9% CAGR (Next 10 Yrs)

At the current price of $27.64, the market is assuming the business will compound Free Cash Flow at 0.9% per year for the next decade with a 9% hurdle rate.

Value Investor Verdict
✓ Low market hurdle: Easy for a wide-moat compounder to beat.
Autonomous Thesis Underwriting

Surveil INVH with Mathematical Margin of Safety Rules

Set non-negotiable floor rules for Invitation Homes Inc.. If a newly filed quarterly 10-Q breaks your ROIC floor, operating margin boundary, or balance sheet leverage rules, receive an autonomous breach audit within 15 minutes.

Buffett Quality

ROIC > 15% • Margin > 15% • D/E < 0.5x

Margin Floor Guard

Current Margin 25.1% • Floor > 10%

Solvency Guard

Altman-Z > 2.6 • Current Ratio > 1.5x

Frequently Asked Questions: Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH) Intrinsic Valuation

Audited fundamentals, DCF intrinsic value sensitivity, and thesis break detection parameters for Invitation Homes Inc..

Based on institutional multi-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) modeling on audited SEC cash flows, Invitation Homes Inc. has an estimated DCF intrinsic fair value of $36.45 per share compared to its current market price of $27.64. This represents an estimated 24.2% margin of safety (trading below fair value). Additionally, its classic Benjamin Graham Number stands at $19.39.

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